EFISCEN is under constant development. The core of the simulation model has been re-programmed in C++. Currently we are working to include the disturbances module in this version. One of the next steps is to improve the interface and communication between the input database, the model and the output database. Furthermore, we are working on other methods to simulate thinning.
Next to the development of the 'old' approach, we are investigating new development directions. One direction is the move to a more spatially explicit model, to be able to include spatial information that has become increasingly available since the early development of the model. This will also allow a more dynamic interaction with other land uses, something that is also on the wish list. Furthermore, this approach will allow high resolution simulation of carbon sinks and sources over longer time frames. This can be used to support climate policies and to improve land-atmosphere models. Another important aspect will be to expand the model with some basic economic functionality. Economics are important to simulate supply behavior of forest owners under changing demand (for example due to increased demand for bioenergy) and to include trade between countries. In future versions, more emphasis will also be placed on the inclusion of biodiversity indicators. These developments will largely take place in the projects EFORWOOD (FP6-518128-2) and ADAM (FP6-018476-2).
Contact information: efiscen@efi.int
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